29 November, 2008

We are Mumbai; They are al Qaeda

By Tobias Ziegler

The world’s attention is focused on the horrific terrorist attacks in Mumbai. Although the situation is not settled, the final death toll is not known, and the gunmen continue to hold hostages, a natural question has arisen - who are the attackers and why did they do it? Foreign policy commentators are noting something about the expert wisdom regarding these events:

An interesting article by Alan Cowell and Mark McDonald in today’s New York Times reveals an inconvenient truth about analysts who study terrorism: they often have wildly divergent views about the same events.

Fortunately, we have Andrew Bolt on the ground in Melbourne. He knows exactly what is going on - and he tells us about it in today’s column. It is “An attack on us all.” Thanks to our intrepid and insightful columnist, we know the following:

  • The attacks targeted places where Westerners and Jews in India are likely to be - thus, it was an attack on the West.
  • The attacks were probably carried out by “al-Qaida or associated Islamist groups” - because they hate the West.
  • Responsibility for the attacks has been claimed by a previously unheard-of group named the “Deccan Mujahideen”, which some experts have suggested may be the same group as the “Indian Mujahideen”. But these local groups don’t have the resources or organisation to pull off an attack of this magnitude.
  • The aim of the attack “seems to be to split the country from the West.”
  • This is not George W. Bush’s fault. These attacks are the exception that prove the rule - terrorist attacks have dropped since 9/11. These devastating and brutal attacks in India are a sign of Al Qaeda’s desperation as they are reduced to focusing on the “easier target” of India.
  • The only way these attacks will end is for all Muslims to love freedom and be horrified by the notion of jihad.

Now, let’s be clear. It is plausible that at least some of Bolt’s assertions about the attacks will turn out to be right. As the attackers are neutralised and identified, a clearer picture of who is directly responsible, why they carried out the attacks, and what (if any) support they had from international organisations will emerge.

But the degree of uncertainty and the number of competing theories out there at the moment highlight something - terrorism and international relations are exceedingly complex issues. There are many radical groups in the world, with many different motivations. These attacks may relate to the dispute over the Kashmir region; they may relate to internal rifts within India; and they may have some connection to groups who want to see Westerners die.

But for an Australian writer to boil all of this down to a global conflict between two irreoncilable groups - “the West” and Islam - is foolish. It does not give one’s readers a genuine understanding of why these particular atrocities were committed by these particular people at this particular time. What’s more, it disregards the fact that “the West” are not the only people affected by this - while Australians and others have been killed in these attacks, so have people from India - and they have been dying in bombings that have occurred regularly in recent times. This is happening on their streets; even those who are not victims of the violence are affected by it. To sit in one’s office in Melbourne and tell everyone that this is all about us is both arrogant and ignorant.

In short, my impression of Bolt’s column is this - it’s a complex world out there, and Andrew Bolt’s mind is far too simple to do it justice.

23 November, 2008

No experience, no opinion

By Scott
Cross-posted at GrodsCorp

I’ve written about this issue at NewMatilda.com, but it still astounds me that respectable (sic) columnists like Andrew Bolt continue to peddle the line that to understand one must experience.

Maxine McKew, who has never had a child herself, spooks me a bit:

As Professor Frank Oberklaid and Professor Fiona Stanley keep saying, babies come out of the womb ready to learn.

Our job as policymakers is to ensure young children have access to a calm, stimulating environment run by professionals…

Get it? Maxine hasn’t herself sprogged so she musn’t dare form an educated opinion about sprogs. Watertight logic, Bolta, and not at all hypocritical. Here are some things that Andrew has recently written about in which he has both qualifications and experience:

I could go on, but you get the idea.

22 November, 2008

Left and Right agree - Bolt’s moderation is dodgy

In this post, Andrew Bolt has continued his critique of Victoria’s Police over crime statistics for African refugees. This time, his focus was on the wording of a memo from an Assistant Commissioner. While Bolt’s disputes with Victoria Police, departing Commissioner Christine Nixon, and “gossip site” Crikey are entertaining, I want to draw readers’ attention to an exchange at the beginning of the comments. Here is the first comment, from someone named Mike:

Of course, Assistant Commissioners aren’t astronauts…. but at least someone at HQ needs to draft Cartwright’s statements to avoid public derision.

Mike (Reply)

Fri 21 Nov 08 (02:42pm)

But Mike then felt obliged to respond to his own comment:

Mike replied to Mike
Fri 21 Nov 08 (05:45pm)
Bwaaaa…

I mentioned “IQ” in my last post.

Bolta’s duty moderator is the latest Canadian HRC admirer, it seems.

The editing completely blancmanges the derision in my post.

Print it all or reject it all, clowns.

So, it would appear that Mike - while being critical of the intelligence of Victoria Police leadership, a position that one would expect Bolt to support - had his comment modified by a moderator, without any indication why - and without giving other readers any indication that they were not seeing Mike’s comment in its original form.

Mike then followed up with one more comment, and got a reply from the man himself:

Mike replied to Mike
Fri 21 Nov 08 (06:04pm)
Question:

How long have Bolta’s moderators been editing posts without some sort of indication the post has been edited?

Serious stuff.

Bolta?

ANDREW REPLIES: Never, to my knowledge. Evidence, please. If we’ve made a mistake, I’ll say so. If you’re a troll, you’ll be banned.

Andrew believes his moderators have never edited comments without indicating (e.g., via the infamous SNIP), and asks for evidence. Let’s help him out.

Back in early September, TBBWP commenter Idlaviv made this remark about the modification of a comment on Bolt’s site:

At 7.15 I posted (above) about Simon of Tasmania’s
post at Bolt’s blog (Fri 05 Sep 08 (06:37am))
which included:
They are opportunistic, pretty much like us white man and they continue to be opportunistic and take everything they can from us white suckers.

I posted a comment over there at 8.12am. Idlaviv replied to Simon
Fri 05 Sep 08 (08:12am)
Simon,
How your racist and bigoted response managed to get through the moderators is beyond me.
Unless of course this is exactly the sort of reply Andrew was looking for…

Since then Simon of Tasmania’s post has been changed to:
They are opportunistic, pretty much like us whites.

His monkeys don’t know this and, boy, are they going me. Would Bolt be enjoying their misguided attack on me?

You bet he is…

They are currently having a nice feed on my post

Idlaviv, myself, and others went back to Bolt’s blog and asked about the change to the comment. We were not fortunate enough to receive a response.

I also e-mailed Andrew on the same day:

Andrew,

I just wanted to make you aware that it appears a comment on your blog has been modified - after users had replied to it, and without any indication to other readers. The relevant thread is from your column “A tradition of pulling your leg” that was published today.

The original comment by “Simon of Tasmania” @ 6:37am was quoted at  another site by a user named Idlaviv. Idlaviv replied to that comment on your site (at 8:12am). By 9:07am, other users were replying to Idlaviv’s comment but the original content of Simon’s comment had apparently been changed. There is no indication to anyone reading your blog that a comment was modified, and no explanation of why. The change has affected the reactions to both comments - without the complete context of Simon’s original statement, Idlaviv’s makes less sense.

I thought you might want to look into what happened, and maybe get some clarification onto the blog. (NB: I am not one of the commenters who was directly involved.)

Cheers,
Toby

I didn’t receive a response.

Does Andrew genuinely believe that there has not been a history of comment modification on his site? Or is he playing dumb to preserve his moderators’ ability to control and manipulate the direction the conversation takes? Perhaps his response to the current issue will give us a better indication.

17 November, 2008

Evil leftist Happy Meals

By Scott
Cross-posted at GrodsCorp

Andrew Bolt has had a crack at McDonald’s for using their Happy Meals, in conjunction with Australia Zoo, to promote conservation of endangered animals. Now, I’m no fan of Happy Meals, and I’m vegetarian, but if Maccas is going to take advantage of kids they might as well push a worthy cause while they do it. However, Bolta sees a pernicious lefty conspiracy.

McDonald’s Happy Meal isn’t so happy when the kids are warned mid-bite that other animals - no, not the ones they’re actually eating - are endangered. It’s even less happy when McDonald’s has the hide to claim that fluffy wuffy kangaroos, cute elephants and lovable pandas are those close to extinction. Do they really expect the kids to swallow that?

Except it’s not a “fluffy wuffy kangaroo”, but a yellow-footed rock wallaby, and the yellow-footed rock wallaby is listed as near-threatened.

boltroo

And the “lovable” panda is very much endangered, while only about 10,000 African elephants remain in the wild.

Does Bolta really expect his readers to swallow his McTripe? Of course he does.

12 November, 2008

Forum 1

I can’t believe I’m putting a “forum” post here, but it’s obvious that the TBBWP team are presently all rather busy and haven’t had time to do any specific Blair/BoltWatching.

Because Blair and Bolt haven’t been dormant just because we have, and clearly readers of this site continue to want to discuss their disturbing output.

So here’s a forum thread on which to do that. I’ll just do one, and we’ll see how it goes. We’ll see if we need to do separate Blair/Bolt ones next time.

Proper Blair/BoltWatching to recommence when the TBBWP team starts reading tim and Andy’s sites again. Not that we’re in a hurry to do that. (Guest submissions can be made to the usual email addresses.)

7 November, 2008

A lie repeated

By Tobias Ziegler

Tim Lambert has already reported on this, but this is such a brazen example of how Andrew Bolt plays with the truth that it deserves repetition.

Yesterday, Andrew told us that “The tide is slowly turning” on the scientific consensus about global warming. His evidence? A statement from Jeffrey Marque, editor of the American Physical Society’s Forum on Physics & Society, published in July 2008:

There is a considerable presence within the scientific community of people who do not agree with the IPCC conclusion that anthropogenic CO2 emissions are very probably likely to be primarily responsible for the global warming that has occurred since the Industrial Revolution.

There are just a couple of issues with Andrew’s presentation of this new evidence to support his claim.

First, he noted the same publication back in July.

Second, he failed to note that the same editor published this in October (the next issue):

In fact, we have not polled any scientific community (e.g., the climate research community, the physics community, or the general science community) as to the extent of its consensus regarding human-activity-caused global warming, and we apologize for making such a remark for which we do not have supporting data. We now do know that, in addition to the American Physical Society, the following scientific organizations have issued statements and/or reports in support of the IPCC’s main conclusion concerning the role of anthropogenic CO2 emissions in global warming: The National Academy of Sciences, the American Meteorological Society, the American Geophysical Union, and the American Association for the Advancement of Science.

So, that is the type of evidence Andrew Bolt uses to rally his followers — recycled and retracted.

But the saga continues. In response to a complaint from a commenter, Bolt suggests that he included appropriate caveats in yesterday’s post. The complainant noted that the APS itself had distanced itself from the original editorial, which is true. And Bolt did address that in his post, by noting:

The [physics and society forum of the] American Physical Society

Note that the APS forum is only part of the APS, which still maintains the faith.

But there are still a couple of problems. First, Bolt attributes the original statement to “the APS forum” — this is wrong, as it was the work of one editor. The APS newsletter has two co-editors — Marque and Al Saperstein. Each writes an editorial comment for each issue of the newsletter — the statement in the July issue that Bolt quoted was written by Marque.

Second, there is still the fact that even that editor apologised for his statement — in other words, he retracted their own denial of “the faith” that Bolt rails against. He noted that not only his own organisation, but at least four other relevant groups, have supported the IPCC’s main conclusion about anthropogenic global warming.

So, this is the type of “evidence” that Andrew Bolt musters to rally his followers. Take one discredited statement and repeat it a couple of times. Throw in the occasional cherry-picked snippet of data (surely it must be cold today somewhere in the world?), and depict your detractors as religious zealots. Keep it up and it just might become the truth.

I think I would rather look at all of the scientific evidence, thanks.

2 November, 2008

FIELDS OF LAME

By Jeremy

This attempted takedown of long-time target Tracee Hutchison is one of tim’s more pathetic recent efforts:

Sarah Palin isn’t backing down, writes Traceeee* Hutchison:

Far from retreating to Wasilla’s world-famous hockey fields …

Ice hockey is generally played indoors, at a rink. Via Dylan Kissane, who also notes that Traceeee thinks the election is held on November 5 – and that, towards the end of her column, Ms Hutchison actually begins making some sense.

First, hockey is played on fields - even, occasionally, ice hockey - and in any case Hutchison never specified the ice variety. Secondly, her article was posted at The Age, an Australian newspaper, and - since the US is almost a day behind us - the US election will still definitely be taking place on 5th November, Australian time. (Since tim has just flown to the US, you’d think he’d be aware of the time difference.)

So Tracee was not at all wrong, and the attempted gotcha falls completely flat.

I’m not sure what tim was trying to achieve here, but I reckon it’s just made him look like a goose.

*Blair objects to being referred to as “Timmeh”, but takes childish delight in extending Tracee’s name every time he mentions her (which is disturbingly regularly, come to think of it) with a couple more “eeee”s…

UPDATE: I just don’t think he’s trying any more.

Fox News, for example, reported that John McCain conceded on 4th November:
untitled33

tim doesn’t get around to noting it until 3.33pm on 5th November, having previously uploaded a full FOURTEEN posts regarding the US election dated 5th November without mentioning McCain’s concession at least thirteen and a half hours before:

untitled24

If you didn’t know better, you’d have to conclude that the election didn’t just take place on 5th November in Tracee time - it was 5th November tim Blair time, too.

28 October, 2008

PLEASE JOIN US

By Jeremy

I have to admit, I quite like how Tim Blair is covering the US election on his Australian Daily Telegraph blog - relentlessly, and in obnoxious far-right code. Given that his aim appears to be to trawl for Republican votes (”a few more standers could make the difference”), his descent into the vernacular of the American extreme right is reassuringly counterproductive.

Tim seems to have fallen in love with that particular online culture in which talk of public health care is indistinguishable from Stalinism. In which the acronym ACORN equals “Democrats trying to steal the election” (outrageous lie though that is) or where the name Ayers equals “Obama pals around with terrorists” or where the words “community organiser” are like the funniest punchline ever. In which the financial crisis is due not to rich people playing tricky games with vast sums of money, but to legislation preventing banks from discriminating against people solely on the grounds of their living in a low-income neighbourhood. In which “Joe the Plumber” (TM) is a non-partisan, neutral representative of middle America. In which the poor old GOP, which has no powerful media conglomerate-owning supporters whatsoever and does not in any way represent corporate America and the ultra rich, is constantly oppressed by a “liberal media” that hates decency and wants to convert your kids into becoming homosexual muslim terrorists.

But here’s the thing - if you’re not already part of the cult, the above articles of faith will not really make any sense to you. In fact, they’re so odd that they’re more likely to drive you away. The community they describe is not swinging-voter friendly - insincere platitudes about how much the Republicans love “real Americans” notwithstanding. In the main it is an unattractively angry, aggressive, hostile, self-righteous, fearful, hollow and nasty congregation of noise, and as long as the Republicans and their supporters revel in it, they will persuade very few to convert to their ranks.

And nor is the theme likely to encourage many Australians to read a Tim Blair column in the Daily Telegraph.

So please, tim. Continue.

27 October, 2008

BOTH CAN’T BE MORE WRONG

Guest post by Dam Buster of Preston

Tim Blair and Andrew Bolt have again shown their complete ignorance of the facts with their latest feather-fisted attack on comments made by Tim Flannery.

Blair makes the suggestion (to which Bolt dutifully links) that a recent report in The Age contradicts what Flannery stated in 2005.

Here’s what Flannery said during a Lateline interview on June 10, 2005:

MAXINE McKEW: And South Australia and Victoria — what would you say? What’s the good news, what’s the bad news?

TIM FLANNERY: Well, the good news for South Australia is that we are at the end of the Murray River catchment, and our water can taste awful at times and can be rather poor quality, but we do have a large catchment behind it for a relatively small city. So water quality is going to be a significant issue for Adelaide. There is increasing recycling, of course, here as well, which is a good thing. Melbourne’s doing very well with recycling but Melbourne’s also vulnerable to water deficits. It’s a large city, it’s in an area of quite dramatic climate change, and therefore will be vulnerable as well.

MAXINE McKEW: Let’s cover the issue of pricing of water, Tim. Who’s ahead of the game there?

TIM FLANNERY: Well, Jeff Kennett, for all the terrible things he did, perhaps, to many of us, actually did a lot of reforms that were quite important, and water was among them. It used to be in Melbourne that water would be on a rated basis with a little bit of a cost for your extra water. That’s changed now and you pay for the water you use and there’s a stepped tariff, and that’s a great — that sends a strong signal to the user that water is a precious commodity not to be wasted, and you’ll have to pay for water, and if you use a lot of water you pay a lot more, and that’s the sort of message we really need to get through. I really can’t emphasise that enough, that, you know, in this period of uncertainty, we have to be very careful of our water resources because a lot’s at stake.

Nothing new there. Melbourne is vulnerable to climate change, as highlighted in the CSIRO Climate Change Study.  Refer to page 17, which states in part that:

“the impact on water supply availability, both streamflow changes due to climate change and population growth scenarios were used. The system yield analysis showed that the streamflow reduction for the mid-range climate change scenario in Table 2 would result in an 8% reduction in the average annual volume able to be supplied in 2020 rising to 20% by 2050. This data was then used to assess the shortfall and buffer between supply and demand.”

Of course, over the past 10 years the actual streamflow into Melbourne’s storages has been well below even the 8 per cent reduction:

So what does The Age report state that contradicts the above? Here’s what Blair quoted:

Melbourne will have so much water in the next few decades it will no longer make economic sense to install rainwater tanks or greywater systems in new homes, a State Government-commissioned report has found.

However, if he’d quoted a little more of the story, we would have seen the following:

MELBOURNE will have so much water in the next few decades it will no longer make economic sense to install rainwater tanks or greywater systems in new homes, a State Government-commissioned report has found.

The Government’s big water projects, including the controversial desalination plant and north-south pipeline, will eliminate the need for ambitious water saving targets for new homes, apartments and renovated houses, according to the report by the Institute of Sustainable Futures, based at the University of Technology, Sydney.

Despite Melbourne Water chairwoman Cheryl Batagol last week expressing concern that the Government’s water plan “may not be enough”, the report said the $4.9 billion projects will yield an extra 240 billion litres “resulting in a likely surplus … until well beyond 2050″.

Do Blair and Bolt even read the articles to which they link? Seems not, and it appears as though they’ve “beclowned” themselves for the umpteenth time.

Flannery was right: Melbourne does have a shortage of water. It will continue to have a shortage of water supply due to the combination of increased population and industry, and less reliable rainfall. The construction of the desalination plant and the North-South pipeline will alleviate the current and future water deficit.

Yet again, Blair and Bolt have demonstrated their profound dishonesty by cherry-picking quotes to create a story.

21 October, 2008

Andy dogwhistling on muslims again

By Jeremy

Who’d a thunk it? Sony recalls a videogame because it thinks it’s inadvertently offended muslim sensibilities, and Andrew Bolt gives his standard see how much nicer everyone is to muslims than christians dogwhistle:

Sony frantically withdraws a computer game that offends one world faith… But Sony offered no such recall when it insulted another world faith.

The other incident is when the Church of England ridiculously complained last year about Sony including in a level of a game - set in a fictional 1950s Britain invaded by space aliens - a representation of Manchester Cathedral. The Church got British MPs to lobby Sony (including making angry speeches in Parliament) and demanded the game be withdrawn. Sony told them to shove it.

Now Andrew is clearly implying (the post is called “Suddenly Sony Sorry”, although based on the URL it was originally “Sony Trembles”) is that this is just one more example of Muslims getting their way when good Christians miss out. His readers certainly got the point, and have been bashing muslims in the comments ever since. (Complains one - “The Empire Of Intimidation & Utter Subjugation, now openly, and brazenly strikes once again”!)

But there is an obvious contrast between the two incidents - and it’s not that Sony reacted in a paranoid fashion to one and a gung-ho screw-you fashion to the other. It’s that where in the Manchester Cathedral incident that was the Church officially demanding a game be withdrawn, and getting actual members of parliament to demand it as well, in this recent kerfuffle there appears not to be ANY representative muslim body that’s made any demands at all. Sony appears to have overreacted to an anonymous forum post. Where are these demands? If you’re going to get stuck into muslims, shouldn’t it be for something they’ve actually said or done rather than Sony being gullible idiots and apparently believing the “muslims are coming to get us all” line run by people like Bolt and Blair?

I’d hate for all Christians to be tarred as likely to “blow up” Sony just because their Church said something silly; isn’t it even worse for Muslims to be tarred with a similar brush just because some anonymous forum commenter claiming to be a muslim feigned offence at something?

I expect Andy will come along to calm his commenters down, and remind them that the muslims they’re attacking haven’t actually done anything, any moment now. Any moment. Any moment.

UPDATE: At least one prominent Muslim group has come out and defended the original content on the grounds of freedom of expression and the free market. What are the odds of Andy noting this in his post?